Member-only story
Don’t Let The “Anchoring” Fallacy Drag You Down!
Every year, investors lose billions of dollars due to logical fallacies. While there are plenty of stock market misconceptions, few are as common — or as dangerous — as “Anchoring.”
Anchoring is a psychological concept where investors convince themselves that an asset should be worth a specific amount of money.
“Dogecoin to one dollar” is a good example of this.
Or, you’ll see various short-term options sellers try to predict how much a company will be worth by a specific date — only for unforeseen events to ruin their plans.
Trying to guess the exact price of an asset, or getting caught up in a market-wide consensus of what something should be worth, is a risky game. And following this strategy is a good way to find yourself bag holding worthless options or lame-duck investments.
On top of this, associating a stock or asset with a particular price can actually lock you out of future buying opportunities.
Back in April of 2020, I set an Archer-Daniels-Midland Company limit order for the peak-pandemic March low price. Archer-Daniels-Midland never sunk that low again, and I never purchased more shares. If I had simply bought the stock at its then-current price, I would have doubled my money in the long-run.